pick any date up to 2045-12-31 to extend the model
Power Law
@sminston_with · updated 2026-10-10
OLS exponent 5.641·R² 0.962·n 5,928·median 5.830 · pseudo-R² 0.806
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How to read it
Fit a straight line to log(price) vs log(days since genesis) and Bitcoin traces it across every order of magnitude. The OLS fit is the least-squares (mean) line; the median fit is the q=0.5 quantile line, which leans less on the blow-off tops.
Price = k · dᵇ with b ≈ 5.64 (OLS) and 5.83 (median). Above the lines is historically rich; well below is historically cheap.
