each line fit on its own (lines with different exponents eventually cross)
pick any date up to 2045-12-31 to extend the model
Power Law Quantiles
@sminston_with · updated 2026-10-10
median exponent 5.830·pseudo-R² 0.806·n 5,928·fan 4.640-5.947
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Fit quality & slope vs quantile
● pseudo-R² (fit quality)● slope b (exponent)
How to read it
Each line is a power law fit at a different quantile of log(price) given log(age) - the low quantiles trace the historical support, the high ones the blow-off tops. Together they fan the whole distribution Bitcoin has lived inside.
The lower chart puts quantile on the x-axis: pseudo-R² is how well each quantile fit is explained by age, and slope b is that fit's exponent - how the growth rate the model implies changes from the support fits to the top fits.