Charts · Models
Charts and models
Pick a category, pick a chart. Standard indicators, alongside Smitty Original charts and models. Here, you can truly be your own analyst.
Power Law
The OLS and median power-law fits on log price vs log age - Bitcoin's long-run trend line.
free- New
Dacoinminster's Power Law (2013)
The first recorded sighting of Bitcoin's power law, posted to Bitcointalk in 2013 - drawn against every day of price since, never refit.
free Decay Channel [Classic]
Quantile power-law support + decay-adjusted upper bound, with the channel oscillator.
Original$21/mo- New
Power Law (Inflation-adjusted)
The power law refit on CPI-adjusted prices, in the dollars of any year since 2010, with the nominal price overlaid.
Original$21/mo - New
Bubble-Free Power Law
The quantile fan refit with the blow-off episodes removed - the trend Bitcoin holds when it is not in a bubble.
Original$21/mo Decay Channel [Regression Ensemble]
10-regression power-law ensemble + 2-regime mixture residual model, projected to 2045.
Original$21/moBitcoin Support Rainbow
Five low-percentile quantile fits as a projected rainbow support band.
Original$21/moPower Law Quantiles
Power-law fits across every quantile, with fit-quality (R²) and slope diagnostics vs quantile.
Original$21/moPrice Integral Z-Score
Cumulative price integral, then a 700-day rolling z-score - a slow regime oscillator.
Original$21/mo- New
Price Percentiles
Rolling 200-day percentile fan, with the signal that fires when the top line breaks a months-long drought.
Original$21/mo Rolling Realized Volatility
Annualized std-dev of log-returns over 30/90/365-day windows - how spicy BTC has been.
freeCu/Au Ratio · BTC PL Residual Z-Score
Copper/Gold ratio z-score against BTC's detrended power-law residual. A macro valuation lens.
Original$21/mo- New
BTC vs Stock Markets
Bitcoin against the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow - side by side, as a ratio, and as a z-score of that ratio.
free ISM PMI · BTC PL Residual Z-Score
ISM Manufacturing PMI z-scored against the same detrended BTC power-law residual.
Original$21/mo- New
BTC vs the Dollar Index
Bitcoin against DXY - side by side, in trade-weighted terms, with dollar stretch and a rolling correlation.
free MODEM Indicator
Decay-channel oscillator (magnitude) + ISM PMI (sign) fused into one −1..+1 regime score.
Original$21/moBTC / Gold Ratio
How many ounces of gold one BTC buys, with a driver view: is BTC or gold moving the spread?
free- New
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed)
Willy Woo's cumulative value-days-destroyed floor. Price has closed below it once in 5,800+ days.
free MVRV & Z-Score
Market value vs realized value, with the canonical Z-Score and its cycle-high and cycle-low bands.
freeLTH Supply-in-Loss Share
Share of long-term-holder supply held at a loss vs price - spikes have marked cycle bottoms.
freeCost of Production
Miner production-cost floor with bands, an OLS power-law fit on the smoothed floor, and a cost oscillator.
Original$21/moMayer Multiple
Price ÷ 200-day MA. Below ~1.0 undervalued, above ~2.4 overheated. The OG cycle gauge.
freeMoving Averages (200 WMA + others)
The 200-week MA bull-market floor, plus 50/100/200-day and -week moving averages.
freePi Cycle Top
111-day MA crossing 350-day MA × 2 - has flagged every cycle top within days.
freeRSI
Relative Strength Index - 14-period momentum with 30/70 thresholds, plus weekly variants.
freeMACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence: 12/26 EMA crossover, 9-period signal + histogram.
freeGolden / Death Crosses
50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day, tagged with what came next.
freeBull Market Support Band
20-week SMA + 21-week EMA - the classic regime line. Above = bull, below = bear.
freeBollinger Band Width
Width of the 20-day Bollinger band as a % of price. Compresses before big moves.
freeFibonacci Retracement + Extension
Auto-drawn Fibonacci retracement + extension levels keyed to the last cycle low and high.
free