Golden / Death Crosses
@sminston_with · updated 2026-08-23
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Built on yesterday's daily close (8/21/2026 · $78,359) + the live spot tacked on as today's point.
Golden crosses (history)
12
Death crosses (history)
13
Every signal · price + what happened over the next 90 days
| Date | Type | Price | +90d price | +90d return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-09-21 | DEATH | $6 | $4 | -29.4% |
| 2012-02-09 | GOLDEN | $6 | $5 | -13.6% |
| 2014-04-09 | DEATH | $443 | $625 | +41.1% |
| 2014-07-12 | GOLDEN | $637 | $359 | -43.7% |
| 2014-09-04 | DEATH | $490 | $376 | -23.2% |
| 2015-07-15 | GOLDEN | $286 | $250 | -12.4% |
| 2015-09-14 | DEATH | $231 | $434 | +88.1% |
| 2015-10-28 | GOLDEN | $304 | $391 | +28.5% |
| 2018-03-30 | DEATH | $6,832 | $5,859 | -14.2% |
| 2019-04-23 | GOLDEN | $5,545 | $10,319 | +86.1% |
| 2019-10-26 | DEATH | $9,250 | $8,423 | -8.9% |
| 2020-02-18 | GOLDEN | $10,195 | $9,727 | -4.6% |
| 2020-03-26 | DEATH | $6,754 | $9,293 | +37.6% |
| 2020-05-21 | GOLDEN | $9,069 | $11,737 | +29.4% |
| 2021-06-19 | DEATH | $35,556 | $47,214 | +32.8% |
| 2021-09-15 | GOLDEN | $48,167 | $48,293 | +0.3% |
| 2022-01-15 | DEATH | $43,207 | $40,527 | -6.2% |
| 2023-02-07 | GOLDEN | $23,266 | $27,727 | +19.2% |
| 2023-09-11 | DEATH | $25,135 | $43,733 | +74.0% |
| 2023-10-30 | GOLDEN | $34,495 | $41,983 | +21.7% |
| 2024-08-10 | DEATH | $60,872 | $76,507 | +25.7% |
| 2024-10-28 | GOLDEN | $69,863 | $102,833 | +47.2% |
| 2025-04-07 | DEATH | $79,422 | $109,180 | +37.5% |
| 2025-05-22 | GOLDEN | $111,477 | $114,277 | +2.5% |
| 2025-11-16 | DEATH | $94,182 | $69,798 | -25.9% |
How to read it
A golden cross is when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day. A death cross is the opposite. Each marker on the chart is a signal; the table below lists each one with what BTC actually did over the following 90 days.
BTC's history shows golden crosses preceding strong rallies and death crosses preceding deep drawdowns more often than not - but not always, and the lag between cross and move can be weeks.